Distinguished Professor Paul Spoonley is the Pro Vice-Chancellor of the College of Humanities and Social Sciences, Massey University. He is the author or editor of 27 books, the most recent being "Rebooting the Regions" (2016). He is a Programme Leader of a research programme on the impacts of immigration and diversity (MBIE, 2014-2020, $5.5 million). He was made a Fellow of the Royal Society of New Zealand in 2011 and was granted the title of Distinguished Professor by Massey University in 2013.He was awarded the Science and Technology Medal by the Royal Society in 2009, he was a Fulbright Senior Scholar at the University of California Berkeley in 2010, and since 2013, he has been a Visiting Researcher at the Max Planck Institute of Religious and Ethnic Diversity, Gottingen. The Auckland War Memorial Museum made him a Fellow in 2015.
Planning in a ‘New’ New Zealand: A very different demography
New Zealand, like other OCED countries, is coming to the “end of growth”, specifically the end of population growth. This is driven by the structural ageing of the population – a doubling of the over 65 year old population – and declining fertility rates. (New Zealand’s Total Fertility Rate is now sub-replacement). Increasingly, immigration is the most significant contributor to any growth that does occur. But the slowing or stagnant population growth is not evening spread spatially. There are obvious growth nodes – Auckland being the most obvious – while two-thirds of Territorial Authorities will experience population stagnation or decline. These demographic and spatial shifts present some interesting policy and planning challenges. How age friendly are our planning decisions and processes? How is diversity – ethnic, age, ability – made manifest? How should planning understand and/or respond to those areas that are stagnating (“smart decline”?)?
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